Page 52 - 2023-bfw-Macro-Krugman-Econ-4e
P. 52

ModULE 1.6
                       Figure 1.6-6 illustrates two examples of simultaneous shifts of the supply and demand
                    curves. In both panels there is an increase in demand — that is, a rightward shift of the
                    demand curve, from D  to D  — for example, representing an increase in the demand for lum-
                                          2
                                     1
                    ber due to changing tastes in home renovations. Notice that the rightward shift in panel (a)
                    is larger than the one in panel (b): we can suppose that panel (a) represents a year in which
                    many more people than usual choose to improve their homes and panel (b) represents a
                    normal year. Both panels also show a decrease in supply — that is, a leftward shift of the sup-
                    ply curve from S  to S . Also notice that the leftward shift in panel (b) is larger than the one
                                1
                                    2
                    in panel (a): we can suppose that panel (b) represents the effect of particularly severe beetle
                    infestations and panel (a) represents the effect of much less severe insect damage.
                    FIGURE 1.6-6    Simultaneous Shifts of the demand and Supply Curves

                                     (a)  One Possible Outcome:                       (b)  Another Possible Outcome:
                                        Price Rises, Quantity Rises                      Price Rises, Quantity Falls
                         Price                                            Price
                          of                  Small                        of             Large decrease  S
                        lumber                decrease   S   S           lumber           in supply      2
                                              in supply   2   1
                                                                                                              S 1
                                                  E 2                                         E
                            P 2                                              P 2               2

                                                                                                         Small
                                                                                                 E       increase
                                            E 1                              P                    1      in demand
                            P 1                                               1

                                                             D 2
                                                D 1                                                         D
                                                    Large increase                                       D   2
                                                    in demand                                             1
                                             Q 1  Q 2  Quantity of lumber                     Q 2  Q 1  Quantity of lumber

                    In panel (a) there is a simultaneous rightward shift of the demand   panel (b) there is also a simultaneous rightward shift of the demand
                    curve and leftward shift of the supply curve. Here the increase in   curve and leftward shift of the supply curve. Here the decrease in
                    demand is sufficiently large relative to the decrease in supply to cause   supply is large enough relative to the increase in demand to cause the
                    both the equilibrium price and the equilibrium quantity to rise. In   equilibrium price to fall while the equilibrium price rises.


                       In both cases, the equilibrium price rises from P  to P  as the equilibrium moves   AP  ECoN TIP
                                                                                                         ®
                                                                1
                                                                     2
                    from E  to E . But what happens to the equilibrium quantity, the quantity of lumber
                         1
                              2
                    bought and sold? In panel (a) the increase in demand is large enough relative to the   To clarify what you know and
                    decrease in supply so that the equilibrium quantity rises as a result. In panel (b), the     what you don’t know about
                    decrease in supply is sufficiently large relative to the increase in demand to cause    the effect of simultaneous
                    the equilibrium quantity to fall as a result. That is, when demand increases and supply   shifts, treat each shift
                    decreases, the actual quantity bought and sold can go either way, depending on the   individually and identify the
                    relative sizes of the shifts in demand and supply.                          effect on equilibrium price
                       In general, when supply and demand shift in opposite directions, we can’t predict   and quantity. Both shifts
                    the ultimate effect on the quantity bought and sold. Without information on the rela-  will have the same effect
                    tive sizes of the shifts, we can only make the following prediction about the outcome:  on either price or quantity,
                                                                                                so you know how that has
                    • • When demand increases and supply decreases, the equilibrium price rises, but the   changed. The shifts will have
                     change in the equilibrium quantity is ambiguous.                           opposite effects on either
                    • • When demand decreases and supply increases, the equilibrium price falls, but the   price or quantity, so unless
                     change in the equilibrium quantity is ambiguous.                           you know the relative sizes
                                                                                                of the shifts, that result is
                       Now suppose that the demand and supply curves shift in the same direction.   ambiguous.
                    Can we safely make any predictions about the changes in price and quantity? In this

                                                 Module 1.6  Market Equilibrium,  Disequilibrium, and Changes in Equilibrium  53
                                              Copyright © Bedford, Freeman & Worth Publishers.
                                 Strictly for use with its products. For review purposes only. Not for redistribution.




          02_APKrugman4e_40932_MacroU01_002_062.indd   53                                                              05/07/22   10:51 AM
   47   48   49   50   51   52   53   54   55   56   57