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one should find on the island occurs where the two lines   We can also imagine how the model would change if we
                                                             ˆ
                    intersect; at this equilibrium point, denoted as S, the num-  added a far island. As illustrated in Figure 10.9b, a far island
                    ber of species colonizing is offset by the number of species   would experience a lower rate of colonization because
                    going extinct.                                         fewer species could disperse to it. As a result, a far island is
                      Using this basic model as a foundation, we can now   predicted to contain fewer species than a near island, as we
                    imagine what would happen to the number of species when   can see by where its colonization curve crosses the extinc-
                                                                                               ˆ
                    we change island area or island distance to the mainland. We   tion curve, denoted as S .
                                                                                                Far
                    can start by imagining how the model would change if we   We can now combine the four options of large versus
                    added a larger island. As you can see in FIGURE 10.9a, a large   small islands and near versus far island to have a complete
                    island would have a lower extinction rate because it could   overview of the model. As shown in FIGURE 10.10, the
                    support larger populations of each species and larger popu-  model predicts that large islands near the mainland should
                    lations are less likely to go extinct. As a result, a large island   contain the highest number of species (denoted as S ˆ LN  ).
                    is predicted to contain more species than a small island, as   In contrast, small islands far from the mainland should
                                                                                                                        ˆ
                    we can see by where its extinction curve crosses the coloni-  contain the lowest number of species (denoted as S ). As
                                                                                                                         SF
                    zation curve, denoted as S ˆ Large .                   you can see, the model predictions are quite consistent
                                                                           with researchers’ observations of how many species live on
                                                                           islands in nature and consistent with the experimental test
                                                                           of island biogeography conducted on the small islands near
                        (a)                                                Florida.

                                                                           Implications for Species Conservation

                         Rate of colonization          Small      Rate of extinction  the biodiversity found on oceanic islands and habitat islands
                                                                           The research into island biogeography helps us  understand
                                                                           within a terrestrial landscape. The insights also provide guid-
                                                                           ance for how to preserve biodiversity in setting aside habitats
                                                         Large
                                                                           as national parks, national forests, and wildlife refuges. For
                                                                           example, based on the observations from the model, we can
                                                                           infer that setting aside larger tracts of land will allow us to
                                                                           protect more species than a smaller tract of land. Moreover,

                                            S Small  S Large
                                  Number of species on island
                        (b)



                         Rate of colonization  Far Near           Rate of extinction  Rate of colonization  Far Near  Small  Large  Rate of extinction











                                        S Far  S Near
                                   Number of species on island                                  S SF  S SN  S LF  S LN
                                                                                          Number of species on island
                    FIGURE 10.9  The effects of island area and island distance.
                    Using the model of island biogeography, we can predict the   FIGURE 10.10  Modeling the combined effects of island area
                    effects of island area and distance on the number of species   and island distance.  The four combinations of large and small
                    present when colonizations are offset by extinctions. (a) If we   islands crossed with near and far islands produced four different
                    change island area, the model predicts that large islands will   equilibria for how many species should exist on an island. The
                    contain more species than small islands. (b) If we change island   highest number of species should live on islands that are large
                    distance, the model predicts that far islands will contain fewer   and near (S LN ) while the lowest number of species should live on
                    species than near islands.                             islands that are small and far (S SF ).






                    118   UNIT 2    ■  The Living World: Biodiversity
                                                   Uncorrected proofs have been used in this sample.
                                                   Copyright © Bedford, Freeman & Worth Publishers.
                                        Distributed by Bedford, Freeman & Worth Publishers. Not for redistribution.

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