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we read too much into this, we need to consider that nonsignificant
                                           findings are “inconclusive” because there are lots of reasons why we
                                           might fail to find an effect. First is the possibility that the effect doesn’t
                                           exist (i.e., brain-training doesn’t really work). Second, as we learned
                                           in Chapter 8, our study could be underpowered, with the sample size
                                           not large enough to detect an effect. Thus, our nonsignificant finding
                                           could be a Type II error. Third, it is also possible that our study was not
                                           done well enough to properly test for the effect. If the study design
                                           is substandard, statistical conclusions from that design are suspect.
                                             In our case, we did not even run a proper study. Having a particular
                                           friend group do a task and answer some questions does not qualify as
                                           a scientific study. For a proper study, we would ideally have a random
                                           sample of people with no connection at all to the researcher. We also
                                           should have recruited participants who had never used brain-training,
                                           then randomly assigned half to do the brain-training. This would rule
                                           out the possibility that those who were already using brain-training
                                           were in some way different from the start. To give any possible effect a
                                           fair test, we should also include more participants so we have 80 degrees
                                           of freedom total or more (because at the point and beyond, the cutoff
                                           scores are virtually identical). Finally, any quality study of brain- training
                                           would closely monitor how much participants use the training and
                                           would make sure everyone used it frequently to optimize any potential
                                           benefit. It’s clear that our study had a lot of shortcomings, which is why
                                           we cannot draw any definite conclusions based on what we did.




                          Your Turn 10.3                       a. Step 1: Population and Hypotheses. (1) What
                                                               would the populations be? (2) What would the
                  1.  When calculating the variance for the distribu-  hypotheses be?
                  tion of differences between means, why do we add
                  the variances from both distributions of means?  b. Step 2: Build a Comparison Distribution. (1)
                                                               What is the comparison distribution? What
                  2. As part of a health studies minor you’re complet-
                  ing, you need to take a nutrition class. Last month   shape is it? (2) What will be the comparison
                  following a discussion on the benefits of clean   distribution’s mean be? Why? (3) What will be
                  eating, the class decided to test clean eating’s ben-  the estimate of the population variance? (4)
                  efits by seeing if increases energy. Using a random   What is the variance of the two distributions of
                                                                                           2
                                                               means? (5) What is the variance (S
                  number generator, everyone was assigned a num-  standard deviation (S    Difference ) and
                  ber. Those who got an even number ate clean for               Difference ) of the comparison
                  a month, while those with an odd number ate nor-  distribution?
                  mally. At the end of the month, everyone took an   c. Step 3: Establish Critical Value Cutoff. In
                  assessment of mental energy where 1 = Low Energy   order to know for sure if the group who ate
                  and 7 = High Energy. Everyone in your nutrition   clean had more mental energy, you need to
                  class follows their randomly assigned diet and gets   establish a cutoff score. (1) What three pieces of
                  a mental energy score. Here are the scores for the   information do you need to find the cutoff score
                  groups: Clean Eating (7, 7, 6, 5, 7) and Non-Clean   on the t-table? (2) What is the t-cutoff associ-
                  Eating (3, 7, 6, 5, 4, 4, 6).                 ated with this information?


                360    S TATIS TI c S   F OR  L IFE

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          11_statsresandlife1e_24717_ch10_343_389.indd   360                                           29/06/23   5:17 PM
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